Cierre Wall Street

Wall Street cierra a la baja: el S&P 500 cae un 0,52%

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  • The S&P 500 closed at 7,623.68 points after falling 0.52%, with more pressure on the Dow Jones than on the Nasdaq.
  • The rise in the 10-year bond to 4.988% and the dollar’s advance have hardened market sentiment.
  • Energy and some semiconductors held up, while defensives, banking, and healthcare weighed on the close.

The close leaves more pressure on the Dow than on big tech: Wall Street today

Wall Street today ended lower and, for me, the key data point is not just the S&P 500’s drop to 7,623.68 points. What matters is how it fell: with the U.S. 10-year bond nearing 5%, the dollar rising, and a Dow Jones noticeably weaker than the Nasdaq. When the cost of money tightens, the market stops forgiving demanding valuations and also punishes the sectors most sensitive to the cycle.

Daily chart of AMEX:SPY on TradingView. For the indices, I use their equivalent ETF as a reference.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq: technology holds up better than the broad index

The S&P 500 closed at 7,623.68 points, down 0.52%, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.21% to 25,955.34 points. It was not a good session, but it was one with nuances. Big tech held up better than the market as a whole, which prevented a uglier close.

Microsoft gained 0.66%, AMD 1.74%, Intel 1.72%, Qualcomm 1.78% and Micron 2.46%. That group offset part of the weakness in Nvidia, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Tesla. The result is clear: there was no disorderly exit from risk, but rather a selective rotation within the market itself.

Dow Jones and Russell 2000: a broader decline, but no panic

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was the hardest hit index, falling 1.23% to 52,215.16 points. The Russell 2000 dropped 0.29% to 2,775.84 points. That difference matters. The selling pressure was more concentrated in industrial, financial and defensive consumer stocks with heavy weight in the Dow, while small caps held up better than the general tone would suggest.

The VIX rose 2.89% to 19.58, but it remains far from levels that would signal serious stress. There is discomfort, yes; capitulation, no. The market has corrected, but it has done so within an orderly framework.

What moved Wall Street today

The macro data delivered a mixed message. The preliminary U.S. manufacturing PMI came in at 56.0 at 15:45 (7:45 in Mexico City), above the consensus of 55.4. The services PMI came in at 57.9, exactly in line with expectations. Then, at 16:00 (8:00 in Mexico City), the University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading stood at 48.0, above the consensus of 46.3. These are not recession-imminent figures. Quite the opposite. And at this stage of the cycle, that is not always welcome for a stock market that would prefer lower rates sooner rather than later.

The transmission channel has been fairly classic. The 10-year Treasury yield moved up to 4.988%, the dollar index climbed to 101.80 and the euro fell to 1.1197 dollars. At the same time, crude showed a mixed performance: Brent fell 1.19% to 111.82 dollars, while WTI rose 4.15% to 103.60. Energy remained strong in the stock market, with ExxonMobil and Chevron among the top performers, but it was not enough to support the major indexes.

Biggest gainers and losers

StockChg. %Reason
Chevron+2.88%strong energy
ExxonMobil+2.79%crude support
Micron+2.46%chip rebound
AMD+1.74%tech strength
Intel+1.72%selective buying
Coca-Cola-2.76%selling in defensives
Eli Lilly-2.54%healthcare pressure
Adobe-2.49%growth weakness

What stands out in the table is the mix of energy and semiconductors at the top. That is not usually the preferred combination in a complacent market. It sounds more like a search for businesses with earnings momentum or support from real prices than like indiscriminate appetite for duration.

At the bottom are defensive names such as Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, along with healthcare and consumer stocks. That split tells me the session was not simply a correction in technology. There was a broader reassessment of risk, with quality havens also being hit.

What to watch on Monday (Madrid time)

  • On Monday 10/26, Verizon reports before the opening of Wall Street.
  • On Monday 10/26, Cadence, Nucor and Public Storage report after the Wall Street close.
  • On Monday 10/26, the Wall Street session opens at 14:30 (7:30 in Mexico City) and closes at 21:00 (14:00 in Mexico City).
  • The next major central bank reference is the Fed, on 10/28 at 19:00 (12:00 in Mexico City).
  • I am also watching the ECB on 10/29 at 14:15 (7:15 in Mexico City).

My take

I would not read this session as a simple Friday stumble. I see a market that is beginning to take seriously the fact that the economy is holding up better than many expected and that, precisely because of that, money can stay expensive for longer. That is an important shift from the more complacent tone of previous weeks. If the 10-year bond consolidates above 5% and the S&P 500 clearly loses today’s intraday low of 7,612.07, I would struggle to argue that this is just a pause.

What would change my mind? A clear turn in yields and the dollar, or a constructive market reaction after the Fed meeting on 10/28 at 19:00 (12:00 in Mexico City). If the cost of money stops pressuring valuations, the market will have room to rebuild. The risk is the opposite: that data stay firm, liquidity keeps getting more expensive and stocks try to sustain high multiples with an increasingly unfriendly real bond. That rarely comes for free.

To go deeper

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This article is general financial information and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves a risk of losing invested capital.

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